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Ohio High School Football Forecast
3rd Edition

July 24th 2003
By Sportscaster17


PROLOGUE

  *The young writer squirmed in his chair while the producer looked over his script. It was the story of a small Ohio town which got caught up in the excitement of living out the American football dream. How they responded with thunderous ovations, deafening chants and fluttering red and white pom-poms. It told the story of one particularly remarkable athlete and how he re-wrote the state's record book. It told the story of how he threw for 6,509 yards, ran for 1,434 more and notched 94 total touchdowns, 76 of them through the air. The story of the kid's 19,894 total career yards, and one cool, rainy night when he threw for 569 yards and six touchdowns. The story told of a team which started 0-2, a year removed from a 15-0 state championship season. The script was filled with game-saving defensive stops, bone-crunching hits, controversial calls, and a sequence of week nine events that defied belief. And in the end, it told of the climactic state championship game, where a team which was once 0-2 and searching for answers, met its date with destiny in the hallowed stadium where football all started.

*The producer finished the script and looked the writer in the eye. "It's good kid, but I'm going to have to pass. People prefer real-life these days, and fantasy just doesn't sell."


  *The main purpose and goal for these forecasts and projections is to provide an in-depth look at the top high school football teams in each division for fans across Ohio. Information for these reports is taken from the previous three seasons, as well as from first-hand information given by coaches, players, and fans from the teams. Please keep in mind that these reports are the thoughts of one person, but also keep in mind that in last year's edition, three out of the six eventual state champions were selected correctly two months before a single game was played.



DIVISION I
  • Last Year's Champion:  Cincinnati Elder

  • THE CHAMP:  WARREN HARDING
    WHY:
    No team rallied in the game's final moments more in 2002 than Thom McDaniels' Raiders.  Down 10 with seven minutes to play in USA Today's Game of the Week verses Massillon, the Raiders capped a terrific comeback to stun the Tigers 31-27.  In the Divisional Playoffs against St. Ed's, Harding kicked a walk-off field goal to beat the Eagles 18-16.  In a much-anticipated rematch with Massillon, Warren again looked left for dead.  The Tigers forged ahead with a minute to play, only to have the Raiders duplicate their week nine rally.  In overtime, the Tigers scored, and looked a cinch to force an additional extra session, that's when Max Schaefer's extra point hooked left sending the Rubber Bowl into a state of delirious celebration.  One key weapon in Harding's '02 exploits was underclassman Mario Manningham.  A splendid all-around player, he can single handedly take over a game  (ask Rick Shepas).  Manningham will be joined by transfer Delbert Ferguson, who still gives Coldwater fans nightmares from his performance against them in the 2000 state finals.  Coach McDaniels' squad is once again loaded with talent, and though another miracle comeback eluded them in the 2002 finals against Elder, the Raiders will cap their return to prominence with 2003's big school state title.

    THE UNDERCARD: CINCINNATI ELDER, CLEVELAND ST. IGNATIUS
    WHY:
    Through a driving snowstorm at The Drip last year in the state finals, the Panthers thwarted a late Warren Harding uprising to hang on for a 21-19 victory.  The Pit northeast was as-advertised, and for once, Hamilton County will be defending the Ohio big school state pennant.  Senior Rob Florian will lead the Panthers' attack in 2003 for head coach Doug Ramsey through a brutal regular season schedule. Elder lost just one of ten regular season games in '02, the loss coming to Kentucky state champion Louisville Trinity.  The Panthers played their best game of the year at Lakewood Stadium, knocking off St. Ignatius 45-35.  Ignatius, which qualified for the playoffs as the seven seed, met Warren Harding in the wild card round and fell 24-17.  Coach Kyle loses one of his best all-around players in the past 10 years in Tony Gonzalez, but return quarterback Brian Hoyer, who showed flashes of brilliance in 2002.  Iggy has Massillon's number, and as long as Chuck Kyle patrols the sidelines, no one had better ever overlook the Wildcats.

    THE OPENING ACT: CINCINNATI COLERAIN, MASSILLON WASHINGTON

    DIVISION II

  • Last Year's Champion:  Dayton Chaminade-Julienne

  • THE CHAMP: OLMSTED FALLS
    WHY:
    In 2000, the Bulldogs capped a marvelous season by defeating Piqua in the championship game.  Last November Falls stunned Louisville and went on to the state semi-finals where their long playoff run came to an abrupt end at the hands of Nordonia.  Head Coach Jim Ryan is beginning his 16th season at the helm, and has compiled an impressive 112-52 record while in Olmsted Falls.  The Bulldog defense pitched three shutouts in 2002, and return many of the key components.  That coupled with an experienced quarterback and a not-so-loaded Division II will bring Coach Ryan his second state title in four seasons.

    THE UNDERCARD: AVON LAKE, PIQUA
    WHY:
    : It was Avon Lake which was outlasted by eventual state runner-up Nordonia in 2002. A 58-32 slugfest in which no scoreboard was safe. The Shoremen are a post-season perennial, and until last season, always seemed to take a much-too-early exit. The returning players seemed to have learned a lesson, and are primed to once again make a run to the state's final eight. 4-6 wasn't what anyone in Indian Nation envisioned in a brand new football facility for 2002. The park opened in 2001 for an outstanding team a year back from a trip to Massillon, but it never came together a year ago. One of the returning pieces for Coach Bill Nees is receiver Austin Netzley who even saw action in Tiger Town during the 2000 state finals. His experience as well as the hunger the Indians should have from a four-win campaign should be enough to get them back into the month they belong in: November.

    THE OPENING ACT: LOUISVILLE, VANDALIA BUTLER

    DIVISION III

  • Last Year's Champion:  Columbus Bishop Watterson

  • THE CHAMP: CLEVELAND BENEDICTINE
    WHY:
    Preseason Mr. Football candidate Raymond Williams struggled like a duck in a desert in last year's state title bout.  It could have been the slippery astroturf, or the driving snowstorm, but whatever, his absence hurt the Bengals more than Art Bortnick could have imagined.  The Bengals were a relatively small team in 2002, but they were extremely athletic.  All of that athleticism and quickness returns in 2003, as the Bennies only sent eight packing to graduation, and less than half of them were employed at skill positions.  With all of that talent coming back, it will take quite an effort from another team in Division III to stop the Bengals from state title number five.  Or at least another snowstorm.

    THE UNDERCARD: AKRON BUCHTEL, DAYTON CHAMINADE-JULIENNE
    WHY:
    In any other year, the Buchtel Griffins would be a lock to win the state title.  Instead this is 2003, the year all the all-star teams decided to converge in Division III.  As much as DII was wide-open, DIII could even be more so.  In fact, three of last years state champions now make their home in Division III. Buchtel has as much talent as Benedictine does, but that didn't save them from one of the state's most talked-about debacles in recent memory.  Leading Hoban by two scores with short time remaining, the Griffs somehow allowed the Knights to close the gap.  Then, as if aided by supernatural forces, the Knights took the lead as Steven Walker ran on fourth down instead of taking a safety.  Game over.  It would be unfair to say that the only thing separating the Griffs from a trip to state would be another bone-headed meltdown. Oh well, we'll say it anyway.  It almost seems like Anthony Turner, Dayton C-J's stud quarterback has been playing for ten years.  It surely must feel that way for the Eagles' opponents.  CJ bumps down to III for 2003 and rest assured, the one thing on Coach Jim Place's mind is repeat.  That will be a tall order, but the Eagles definitely look primed to make another long trip into the post-season.

    THE OPENING ACT: KENTON, STEUBENVILLE

    DIVISION IV

  • Last Year's Champion:  Kenton

  • THE CHAMP: COLDWATER
    WHY:
    Kevin Hoyng graduated a couple months ago.  Good news for MAC and Division IV fans right?  Wrong, relation Alex Hoyng will still be part of John Reed's potent attack.  If ever there was a public school that could make  "We don't rebuild, we reload"  its rallying cry, it is the Cavaliers.  No matter what, the Cavs are always a threat.  2003 will be no exception.  An unhealthy quarterback hurt the Cavs' chances at a rematch with Kenton, as Coldwater was bounced by an upstart Reading team 41-38.  Once again the Cavaliers will open with the Kenton Wildcats - a terrific gauge on what both clubs look like out of the chute.  With no one named Mauk standing in the way, it will be another Hoyng which will bring that ever-deserving state title to C-town.

    THE UNDERCARD: IRONTON, PORTSMOUTH
    WHY:
    Yawn.  When in doubt pick the perennials.  Its not disrespect for any other squad, but the proven track record of both of the above teams warrant their position in the projections.  Don't think that the Trojans weren't steamed about their West-side counterparts playing in the state title contest in 2002.  That will serve as solid motivation for the Trojans to avenge 2002's 34-18 setback at the hands of the Senators.  Ironton, meanwhile hasn't made a trip to the state finals since heartbreak in 1999.  But despite the brainlock against Sandusky Perkins, Coach Lutz is still a mainstay.  It appears as though the Tigers will have to beat the Trojans if they wish to return to Stark County.

    THE OPENING ACT: HURON, CLEVELAND VILLA-ANGELA ST.JOSEPH

    DIVISION V

  • Last Year's Champion:  Marion Pleasant

  • THE CHAMP: DELPHOS ST. JOHN'S
    WHY:
    Todd Schulte doesn't like me.  In 2001 I picked the 'Jays to win the state title and they were bounced by eventual state champ Marion Pleasant.  I also picked them in 2002 and even with the loss of their premier running back, advanced to the state semis where Smithville ended the run.  Well I am going with St. John's one more time.  Matt Shumaker is unbelievably hungry after his devastating injury last season prior to the Marion Local game.  Even without Shumaker, quarterback Jesse Kill led his team as far as they could get.  St. John's is absolutely loaded, and the DV title is theirs for the taking.  In fact, the OHSAA is letting them keep the trophy there until Thanksgiving Weekend.  Well that's perhaps a stretch but this DSJ team looks that darn good.

    THE UNDERCARD: BEDFORD ST. PETER CHANEL, MARION PLEASANT
    WHY:
    The two undercards met as the main event just two years ago.  Chanel edged a scrappy Pleasant squad that lost its leader two plays into the game.  Though Pleasant reached state championship status last year, talent remains for Coach Kubbs to make another interesting run in the playoffs.  Chanel on the other hand made a much better showing in last year's playoffs than many expected.  A 19-7 loss to the state finalists wasn't too bad considering the team was led by underclassmen.  The 2003 Firebirds look almost as potent as their 2001 friends, but not quite.  Still, the 'Birds look good enough to make a lot of noise in the post-season.

    THE OPENING ACT: AMANDA-CLEARCREEK, SMITHVILLE

    DIVISION VI

  • Last Year's Champion:  Mogadore

  • THE CHAMP: DOLA HARDIN NORTHERN
    WHY:
    No team in the state inflicted more damage on itself than the Polar Bears did.  And they picked the worst time and game to do it.  No one at Fawcett Stadium would have thought Hardin Northern entered the game 14-0.  They turned the football over six times, and half of those came on Moggy's side of the field. Although Coach Brunow lost an ace in Drew Snow, he still has his son Clay, a 6'1 185-pound signal caller.  The Polar Bears look about as good on paper as the St. John's Blue Jays, and the team that shocked the state when it eliminated two-time state champ Marion Local, looks poised to make a return visit to "The Drip".

    THE UNDERCARD: MONROEVILLE, MARION LOCAL
    WHY:
    The Monroeville Eagles hung right with the state champs last year at Finnie Stadium.  In the end, it was a 21-7 setback, but a lesson learned.  Steve Ringholz is one of the division's most veteran and respected coaches, and he refuses to admit his team is capable of making a long run.  Funny how every time a coach downplays his team's possibilities they are playing in the state finals fifteen weeks later. Marion Local fans faces' when leaving Alexander Stadium in Piqua was eerie.  Gone were those wide grins and cheery faces that had rooted on their Flyers in back-to-back state title games.  They had expressions of sheer disbelief.  How could any team, same region no less, end our hopes at a three-peat? Well it happened.  26-16 on that dreary night in Piqua.  Local fans hadn't felt that way in a while. Now some open spots need to be filled, but the Flyers are still arguably the divisions biggest team.  That at least translates into a rematch with Hardin Northern.

    THE OPENING ACT: MOGADORE, NEWARK CATHOLIC

    2003 OHIO MR. FOOTBALL AWARD: RB - ANTONIO PITTMAN, AKRON BUCHTEL

    I would like to express my sincere gratitude to the following contributors.  Without their insight and assistance, this project would not have been possible.

    Brandon Nichols - Northeast Region
    Jesse Swafford - Southwest Region
    Brent Burris - Northwest Region
    Dan Warner
    Craig Bell
    And many others who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

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